With The Big Switch just two years away, old-school analog cable customers remain the forgotten stepchildren of the digital TV transition. On the morning of Feb. 18, 2009, cable households that haven’t switched to digital cable might—just might—find that their local stations have vanished. If you read the smoke signals from the FCC, however, the issue has not gone unnoticed.
The issue, which has attracted surprisingly little attention, is this: Under the 2005 digital TV transition law, cable companies will not be authorized to downconvert local channels before sending the signal to the customer’s home.
The FCC, through a series of policy decisions, is encouraging cable companies to also make the move to an all-digital future. That’s one solution: Get rid of analog cable, and you get rid of any problem facing analog cable subscribers in 2009.
Federal regulators have not banned analog cable by any means. But the FCC’s approach to a looming, highly contentious regulatory issue—new requirements for cable boxes—is pushing cable operators to speed their own digital transition.
Cable companies face a July 1 deadline to stop distributing “integrated” digital cable boxes. Instead of the old box, customers would receive a CableCARD, a credit-card sized thingy that snaps into certain digital TVs or digital cable boxes, handling access and security functions. Cable companies have resisted the change for years, for a variety of reasons, but especially because the new, CableCARD-equipped boxes are substantially more expensive than the old boxes that have built-in security functions.
After years of delay, the FCC has firmed its stance on the cable-box mandate, which was intended to create an open market for those devices. Cable companies large and small have applied for waivers, but large firms, especially, face an uphill battle. In recent FCC decisions, however, regulators have shown they are willing to relax the rules somewhat to allow a faster transition to all-digital service.
Last month, the FCC cited broadcasting’s digital transition when it granted a conditional waiver to BendBroadband. Allowing the cable company to continue distributing integrated cable boxes
would have a direct and immediate impact on its migration to an all-digital network prior to the end of analog, over-the-air broadcasts by full-power television stations on February 17, 2009. That migration, in turn, would enable [BendBroadband] to ensure that its cable subscribers will be able to view digital broadcast signals after the end of the DTV transition. It also may enable BendBroadband to provide additional HD content, which may facilitate the DTV transition by creating greater incentives for its subscribers to acquire digital television sets.
A cable-box waiver application from Comcast, however, was denied. But an amended request might be looked upon more favorably, the FCC opinion suggested, if it included “a commitment to go all-digital by a date-certain such as February 2009 or sooner, when broadcasters will cease their analog operations.” A footnote cited a trade magazine report in which a Comcast executive last year suggested that the company may keep 20 or 30 analog channels online “for another decade.”
Congress, if it revisits DTV transition issues, may yet come to the aid of standard cable subscribers. Perhaps the FCC has not exhausted its regulatory playbook, either. Chairman Kevin Martin may still insist that, under a 1992 law, cable companies must provide “viewable” broadcast signals to their customers—including those who haven’t yet jumped on the digital bandwagon.
• Links: FCC orders: Bend [pdf], Comcast [pdf]; Multichannel News